US main insurer American Integrity has raised its estimate for losses from 2022’s hurricane Ian and this has triggered an additional decline within the secondary market costs for a few of its Integrity Re disaster bonds, with one issuance now marked as doubtless going through a complete loss, Artemis can report.
After that, as soon as the cat bond market had time to soak up the potential ramifications of the brand new estimate, a few of the Integrity Re disaster bonds had been marked down once more, the riskiest one notably closely.
American Integrity’s excellent cat bonds had been broadly marked-down after main hurricane Ian struck Florida in September 2022.
The most at-risk is the the $150 million Integrity Re II Pte. Ltd. (Series 2020-1) issuance, which sat lowest down within the American Integrity reinsurance tower, and these Class A notes had already had their maturity date pushed out to April 2028 on the specter of hurricane Ian losses final April.
At the time, these Integrity Re 2020 cat bond notes had been probably the most marked-down within the secondary market, with some cat bond buying and selling desks discounting their value by as a lot as 50%.
Now, on the again of an up to date loss estimate from the sponsor, the Integrity Re II 2020-1 Class A cat bond notes have now been marked down for a close to complete loss, with secondary pricing sheets exhibiting the notes marked as little as 1 cent on the greenback right now.
This suggests the market is now anticipating a complete lack of the $150 million in excellent principal for the Integrity Re II 2020-1 cat bond notes.
We’re instructed this Integrity Re II marking down was a reason for December’s cat bond fund returns coming in decrease than anticipated for some cat bond fund managers.
At this stage, a couple of 12 months and three months for the reason that prevalence of hurricane Ian, it appears doubtless American Integrity’s up to date loss estimate within reason correct, so it feels protected to imagine a major, maybe as a lot as 100%, lack of principal to those $150 million of Integrity Re II 2020-1 disaster bond notes will now happen as soon as the loss complete is finalised.
The subsequent most at-risk tranche of cat bond notes sponsored by American Integrity are the $50 million Integrity Re Ltd. (Series 2019-1) Class A issuance.
The $50 million of Integrity Re 2019-1 cat bond notes had additionally had their maturity date prolonged, as we reported in June 2023, at which period these notes had been marked for bids of between 70 and 90 throughout dealer cat bond pricing sheets.
There has been an additional decline within the secondary pricing for the Integrity Re 2019-1 cat bond notes within the wake of the up to date loss estimate from American Integrity.
Now, pricing sheets seen by Artemis present the Integrity Re 2019-1 cat bond notes marked down as little as 50 cents on the greenback, though nonetheless extra broadly marked within the vary of 70 to 80 cents.
Finally, the $75 million Integrity Re Ltd. (Series 2022-1) cat bond notes have additionally been marked down a little bit additional on some cat bond pricing sheets.
Back in June 2023, the 2022-1 Integrity Re notes had been marked down round 10 cents on the greenback, however this has now risen to see the notes pricing in a spread from 80 to 90, so they’re now marked down as a lot as 20 cents.
American Integrity opted to increase the maturity dates for the 2 prolonged Integrity Re cat bonds proper out to 2028, so their could possibly be some time to go till the ultimate losses are understood, with the cat bond backed reinsurance safety remaining available to the sponsor as its hurricane Ian loss is finalised and any reinsurance recoveries underneath the Integrity Re cat bond program come due.
You can view particulars of many disaster bonds which have been triggered and made payouts, in addition to cat bonds at present thought of at-risk, in our Deal Directory.
