It is troublesome to consider that we’re powering in direction of the tip of 2023 and, with that, we begin to look forward to Christmas and the brand new 12 months.
Judging the outlook for 2024 is extraordinarily troublesome as a result of there are some optimistic indicators for the economic system however, equally, nonetheless many points that businesses throughout our space are dealing with that make it exhausting to look ahead with certainty.
Colleagues on the Chamber lately met with the Bank of England and it’s forecasting that inflation will drop to round 5 per cent by the tip of this 12 months, which is a a lot better position than we have been in 12 months in the past.
Unemployment stays low and but financial output (GDP) is stagnant.
The latest Quarterly Economic Survey (QES) amongst corporations throughout Coventry and Warwickshire does, nonetheless, supply a ray of hope for the approaching months.
It confirmed that confidence in each the service and manufacturing sectors had risen and this implies a extra optimistic outlook for the regional economic system.
The survey is delivered in partnership with Prime Accountants Group and is analysed by the Economy & Skills Group at Warwickshire County Council. It confirmed that home and worldwide gross sales have been enhancing – extra dramatically in manufacturing however within the providers sector too, resulting in job creation.
It shall be attention-grabbing to see if the optimism continues once we see the outcomes for the ultimate survey of 2023 as that can give a robust barometer for the way corporations consider we’re going to begin the brand new 12 months.
The outlook for the economic system – alongside a variety of different points – shall be a subject of dialog on the Chamber’s annual Business and Economic Conference on the Coventry Building Society Arena on November 10.
I’m very a lot trying ahead to the chance to listen to from some nice audio system and likewise to meet up with different business folks and decision-makers from throughout the area.
The convention is being delivered in partnership with PET-Xi Training and Prime Accountants Group. PLMR Advent is the media associate and Eskuta and Make Venues (Woodland Grange) have signed up as supporting sponsors.
For anybody wishing to attend, they need to go to https://www.cw-chamber.co.uk/events/annual-business-economic-conference-2023/
Of course, all of this comes earlier than the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement in direction of the tip of November and, as soon as once more, that ought to give businesses throughout the patch a greater understanding of the path of journey for subsequent 12 months – however with the added caveat that there’ll almost actually be a General Election within the subsequent 12 months!