Tuesday, May 21, 2024
Tuesday, May 21, 2024
HomeNewsOther NewsTremendous Tuesday exit polls and evaluation for the 2024 primaries

Tremendous Tuesday exit polls and evaluation for the 2024 primaries

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Here’s what’s on the minds of a few of at the moment’s GOP main voters: Trump and Haley voters are in search of totally different traits in a candidate.

We’ve seen this play out within the earlier contests, and it is the identical in Virginia, North Carolina and California. 

Voters supporting former President Donald Trump need somebody who will battle for individuals like them, whereas those that assist former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley need somebody who both shares their values or has the suitable temperament. 

Immigration and the financial system proceed to be high of thoughts for Republican voters

Immigration and the financial system are the highest points on voters’ minds.

When requested to choose from a listing of 4 points, the financial system and immigration have outranked abortion and overseas coverage in each state the place exit polls have been performed to date.

These points are additionally necessary to voters total nationwide. 

Handling the problems: The financial system, the border, worldwide disaster

Trump has an enormous benefit over Haley on whom main voters belief to deal with the financial system and border safety. And he additionally leads Haley on who would higher deal with a world disaster.

Abortion: Some division inside GOP citizens on nationwide abortion ban

We see some variations within the states the place we have polled on views of a nationwide ban on abortion in all or most instances. 

In California and particularly in Virginia, a transparent majority of Republican main voters oppose a ban. In North Carolina, Republican main voters are extra divided. (In New Hampshire, most GOP main voters additionally opposed such a ban)

Most voters reject cost that Trump is mentally unfit for workplace

Haley has questioned Trump’s psychological health for workplace, however it is not resonating with most voters, though Haley voters don’t suppose Trump has the psychological and bodily well being wanted to serve, and Trump voters say the identical about Haley. 

GOP main voters disapprove strongly of Biden and are dissatisfied with the state of the nation. 

Big majorities of Republican main voters disapprove of the job Biden is doing as president, with much more strongly disapproving than considerably disapproving.

And these voters are sad with how issues are going within the nation, together with many who’re offended. 

This feeling has endured by this main marketing campaign.

What about  the “large lie”?

Majorities of main voters in North Carolina and California don’t imagine Joe Biden was the official winner of the 2020 election.

This has been the case in earlier contests the place exit polls have been performed.  

In Virgina, opinion is extra divided. (Fewer establish as MAGA in Virginia in comparison with North Carolina and one in 10 voters listed here are Democrats) 

And most suppose Trump can be match to serve even when convicted

In every of the states the place exit polls have been performed, a majority of voters have mentioned Trump can be match for the presidency even when convicted of against the law. And that is the case at the moment, too. 

In states with extra reasonable and unbiased electorates this has been a smaller majority. 

Today, in North Carolina and California, most say Trump can be match even when convicted. 

Opinions on this are extra divided in Virginia.

When did voters resolve?

A majority of main voters in Virginia and North Carolina  selected their candidate some time in the past, most even earlier than the Iowa caucuses. Fewer than one in 5 made their choice within the final week.

What occurs after the primaries?

Right now, primarily based on these exit polls, most Haley voters are usually not dedicated to supporting the GOP nominee. 

(Of word: Some of this sentiment was there in 2016. In states the place exit polls have been performed in 2016, three in 4 non-Trump voters mentioned they’d be dissatisfied with Trump as their nominee. In the overall election, 9 in 10 Republicans backed Trump.)

Most Trump voters — with their candidate main handily within the race for delegates — say they’d vote for the GOP nominee irrespective of who it’s. 

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