Each of the 4 groups in Pot 1 might be determined to keep away from Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay (in Pot 2), who’ve overwhelmed Brazil and Argentina within the two most recent worldwide breaks. Colombia are one other of the groups to keep away from in Pot 2, having come third in two of the final three iterations of Copa America.
The groups in Pot 3 (e.g. Chile, Venezuela, Paraguay) pose much less of a menace, however can nonetheless be harmful, notably for the USMNT and Mexico, whereas Canada (in the event that they progress) and Jamaica may trigger upsets from Pot 4.
Teams exterior Pot 1 might be hoping to attract the United States or Mexico quite than Argentina or Brazil.
Based on FIFA world rankings — and on the premise that the higher-ranked crew within the play-in ties progresses — the hardest group that could possibly be drawn is:
Argentina (1), Uruguay (15), Chile (37), Canada (45).